ANALYZING THE DRIVERS AND SENSITIVITY OF POPULATION GROWTH IN NIGERIA

Abstract

From the Google map online, Nigeria is a country located in West Africa with surrounding countries like Benin, Togo and Ghana on its west surrounding; Chad, Burkina Faso and Cameroon on its North East surrounding while Niger on the north surrounding. Nigeria comprises of 36 states and its federal capital territory called Abuja with its largest city called Lagos. Nigeria has a total land mass of 923,768????????2, i.e. 356669 square meters with its water percentage estimate at 1.4. It was recognized on the 1st of October 1960 and the later declared a republic on the 1st of October 1963. We will be focusing on the predicted and sensitivity growth model which is applied to model the population of Nigeria as from 2015 to 2125 using Thomas R. Malthus population growth model. The carrying capacity, sensitivity and important coefficients governing the growth of the population in Nigeria has been determined. The outcome shows that the carrying capacity for the Nigerian population is 808719320.62, while the coefficient   and   are 0.03 and 3.71 × 10−11. According to this model, Nigeria’s population growth rate is 3% per annum. The population prediction for Nigeria by 2125 will be 802,430,000 while the population sensitivity will be 189,900