MACROECONOMIC FACTORS INFLUENCING STOCK INDEX TRENDS: AN INDEPTH STUDY

Abstract

The stock market, serving as a vital intermediary between borrowers and lenders, plays a pivotal role in economic development. Its behavior is shaped by a complex interplay of rational and irrational investor actions. In recent decades, the stock market has gained increasing economic significance, offering a rapid capital-raising avenue for businesses and a robust securities trading platform. The establishment of the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 1990 marked a turning point in China's development, propelling the nation into the global financial arena. China's stock market has since become one of the world's most influential, contributing significantly to global financial markets through capital mobilization, industrial structure enhancement, and improved allocation of social resources. This paper delves into the notion that a market index, formed by aggregating the values of multiple equities and comparing them to a base value, serves as a sensitive barometer of economic development. It holds the potential to encapsulate a country's overall economic development status and offers investors insights into future market trends.